Email: ceyhunelgin@gmail.com




Ph.D. in Economics,

University of Minnesota, 2010









The Informal Economy: Measures, Causes, and Consequences. 2020.  New York: Routledge.

Cross-Country evidence on the association between contact tracing and COVID-19 case fatality rates. 2021. Scientific Reports, 11, 2145. (with Abdullah Yalaman, Alison Galvani, and Gokce Basbug)

Informality, Inequality, and Profit Rates, 2021. Forthcoming in Applied Economics Letters (with Adem Y. Elveren and Joseph Bourgeois)

Gender Compensation Gap for Ophthalmologists in the First Year of Clinical Practice, 2021. Forthcoming in Ophthalmology.

Economic Policy Responses to a Pandemic: Developing the COVID-19 Economic Stimulus Index. Covid-Economics:
Vetted and Real Time Papers, 3, 40-54. (with Abdullah Yalaman and Gokce Basbug)

Teaching Economics of COVID-19. 2020. World Economics Association: Commentaries. 10 (3), 10-12

Is Informality a Barrier to Sustainable Development? 2020. Sustainable Development 29 (1), 45-65. (with Gokcer Ozgur and Adem Y. Elveren)

Wage-led versus profit-led demand: A comprehensive empirical analysis. 2020. Metroeconomica. 71 (3), 458-486.  (with Cem Oyvat and Oğuz Öztunalı)

Incarceration and Labor-Market Conditions of the Underclass An Empirical Investigation for US, 2020, European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 26, 529-546. (with Kerem Cantekin)

Shadow Economies around the World: Evidence from Metropolitan Areas, 2020, Eastern Economic Journal, 46, 301-322.

Evolution and Predictors of the Homicide Rate in Turkish Provinces: Evidence from Panel Data, 2019, European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 25, 379-390

Informal economies around the world: measures, determinants and consequences, (2019), Eurasian Economic Review , 9 (2), 221-237. (with N. Ferda Erturk)

Termination of Co-Ownership Cases: A Statistical Analys for Immovable Property Sales (2018)

Socio-demographics, political attitudes and informal sector employment: A cross-country analysis, (2018) Economic Systems,42 (4), 556-568. (with Metin Basbay and Orhan Torul)

Sectoral Estimates of Informality: A New Method and An Application to Turkish Economy (2017), The Developing Economies, 55(4), 261-289. (with M. Burak Sezgin)

Extent and Growth Effects of Informality in Turkey: Evidence from a Firm-Level Survey. (2017), Singapore Economic Review, 62 (5), 1017-1038. (with Kerem Cantekin)

Informality and Structral Transformation (2017), Forthcoming in the Central Bank Review (with O. Erem Atesagaoglu and Deniz Bayram)

A Note on Informality and Public Trust (2017), Economics Bulletin, 37 (4), 2595-2601.

Determinants of Ticket Prices in Turkish Aviation Industry (2017), Journal of Yasar University, 2/48, 329-338. (with O. Erem Atesagaoglu and Oguz Oztunali)

TFP Growth in Turkey Revisited: The Effect of Informal Sector, (2017),  Central Bank Review, 17 (1), 11-17. (with O. Erem Atesagaoglu and Oguz Oztunali)

Religiosity and Fairness Perceptions (2016), Journal of Neuroscience, Psychology and Economics, 9 (3-4), 182-199. (with M.Y Gurdal and M. Yilmaz)

Is Informality a Barrier for Convergence? (2016), Economics Bulletin, 36 (4), 2556-2568.

Cyclicality of Labor Wedge and Informal Sector, (2014), Economics Letters, 136, 141-146. (with O. Erem Atesagaoglu)

Growth Effects of Inflation under the Presence of Informality. (2016)  Bulletin of Economic Research, 68 (4), 311-328. (with D. Asfuroglu)
Energy Consumption and the Size of the Informal Economy. Economics E-Journal. 2016-14. (with M. Basbay and O. Torul)

Shadow Economies in OECD Countries: DGE vs. MIMIC Approaches. Bogazici Journal. (2016) 30 (1), 51-75. (with F. Schneider)

Growth and Informality: A Comprehensive Panel Data Analysis. Journal of Applied Economics. (2016) 19 (2), 271-292. (with S. Birinci)

Intraocular Pressure Elevation after Intravitreal Triamcinolone Acetonide Injection: A Meta-Analysis, International Journal of Ophthalmology, 9 (1), 139-144.  (with Cansu Yüksel Elgin)

Underground Economy, (2015), Wiley-Blackwell Encyclopedia of Race, Ethnicity and Nationalism.

Informality in a Dynamic Political Framework, (2015), Macroeconomic Dynamics , 19,  578-617.

Political Turnover, Taxes, and the Shadow Economy)

Pollution and Informal Economy, (2015), with Oguz Oztunali, Economic Systems, 38 (3), 333-349.

Tax Enforcement, Technology, and the Informal Sector, (2015), with Mario Solis-Garcia, 38, 97-120.

Technological Progress and Scientific Indicators: A Panel Data Analysis. (2015), with Selman Çakır, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 24 (3), 263-281.

Institutions, Informal Economy, and Economic Development (2014), with Oğuz Öztunalı,  Emerging Markets, Finance and Trade, 50 (4), 117-134.

Building human capital to set the Gazelles free: The informal economy, (2014), with M. Arouri and A.
Ben Youssef, published in One Billion People One Billion Opportunities: Building Human Capital in Africa, African Development Bank, pp. 85-97.

Homeownership, Informality and the Transmission of Monetary Policy, (2014), with R. Burak Uras, Journal of Banking and Finance, 49, 160-168.

Environmental Kuznets Curve for the Informal Sector of Turkey (1950-2009), (2014) with Oğuz Öztunalı, Panoeconomicus, 61 (4), 471-485.

Determinants of the Preference for Leisure, (2014), with Emekcan Yucel, Economics E-Journal, 2014-8.

Lurking in the Cities: Urbanization and the Informal Economy, with Cem Oyvat, (2013), Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 27, 36-47.

Is Informality a Barrier for Financial Development?, (2013), with R. Burak Uras, SERIEs, 4 (3), 309-331.

Wage-Productivity Gap in OECD Economies, (2013), with T. Umut Kuzubas, Economics E-Journal, 2012-21

Environmental Regulation, Pollution and the Informal Economy, (2013), with Ummad Mazhar, SBP Research Bulletin, 9 (1), 62-81.

Current Account Balances and Macroeconomic Volatility, (2013), with T. Umut Kuzubaş,. Economic Modelling, 33, 381-387.

Public Debt, Sovereign Default Risk and Shadow Economy, (2013), with R. Burak Uras, Journal of Financial Stability, 9 (4), 628-640.

Internet Usage and the Shadow Economy: Evidence From Panel Data, (2013), Economic Systems, 37 (1), 111-121.

Religion, Income Inequality, and the Size of the Government, (2013), with Turkmen Goksel, Mehmet Y. Gurdal, and Cüneyt Orman,  Economic Modelling, 30 (c), 225-234.

Cylicality of Shadow Economy, (2012), Economic Papers, 31 (4), 478-490.

A Theory of Economic Development with Endogenous Fertility, (2012), Macroeconomic Dynamics, 16 (5), 686-705.

Vergiler ve Kayıtdışı Ekonomi: Bir Değerlendirme ve Türkiye Örneği, (Taxes and Informal Economy: An Evaluation and Case for Turkey), (2012), METU Studies in Development, 39 (2), 237-258.

Unionization and Informal Economy
, (2012), Economics Bulletin, 32 (3), 2615-2623.

Can Sustained Economic Growth and Declining Population Coexist? Barro-Becker Children Meet Lucas, (2012), with Semih Tumen, Economic Modelling, 29 (5), 1899-1908.

Public Trust, Taxes and the Informal Sector, (2012), with Mario Solis Garcia, Bogazici Journal, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 27-44.

Niçin Kayıtdışı Oluruz? (2011), İktisat ve Toplum, Sayı 7, 74-78.

Wage-Productivity Gap in Turkish Manufacturing Sector, (2012), with T. Umut Kuzubas, Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, vol. 27 (316), pages 09-31.

Not-quite-great depressions of Turkey: A quantitative analysis of economic growth over 1968 - 2004, (2011), with Deniz Cicek, Economic Modelling, vol. 28(6), pages 2691-2700.

Cyclicality of fiscal policy and the shadow economy, (2011), with Deniz Cicek Empirical Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 725-737, December.


Accounting for Turkish Business Cycles, (2011), with Deniz Cicek, Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, vol. 26(309), pages 09-32.